Thursday, October 4, 2012

Holiday sales forecast is good news for retailers

CNBC's Courtney Reagan reports Americans are expected to spend more this holiday season, although economic uncertainties persist.

By Roland Jones, NBC News

The best that can be said about the 2012 holiday shopping season is that it will be about average, according to the latest forecast from the National Retail Federation (NRF), a retail trade group.

The NRF predicts that holiday sales this year will increase 4.1 percent to $586.1 billion -- that?s just above the 10-year average of 3.5 percent growth for annual holiday sales increases, but down from the 5.6 percent growth figure for holiday sales in 2011.

Consulting firm Deloitte has a similarly tempered outlook for 2012 holiday sales. It recently issued a forecast for retail sales for the November through January period to rise between 3.5 percent and 4 percent this year, down from a gain of 5.9 percent in 2011. Deloitte blamed the downturn on high gas prices and weak housing and job markets.

The factors restraining holiday sales this year also include an upcoming presidential election, gridlock in Washington surrounding the expiration of tax cuts and spending cuts, also called ?the fiscal cliff,? and concern relating to future economic growth. These variables are likely to combine to impact consumers and their spending, according to the NRF?s President and CEO Matthew Shay.

The group?s holiday shopping forecast is ?neither negative nor extremely robust,? he added. ?But at this point we?re optimistic that we?ll see solid holiday sales growth this year.?

Major retailers appear to be gearing up for a strong holiday season.

Wal-Mart, Toys R Us, Macy?s and others have been making bets that they?ll need extra staff for the holiday shopping season, taking on extra staff to help them deal with the upcoming holiday season.

On Monday Macy?s said it plans to hire about 80,000 seasonal workers, a 2.5 percent increase from last year, in order to staff up its Macy's and Bloomingdale's stores, and also to add staff to its call centers, distribution centers and online fulfillment centers.

Holiday shopping season sales are vital to retailers because they account for around a quarter of annual retail sales in a typical year.

While 57 percent of retailers plan to hire seasonal workers at the same level as 2011, 36 percent say they will be hiring more workers this year -- up from 10 percent in 2011, according to a survey by Hay Group. The management consultancy polled 14 major U.S. retailers in order to gauge retailers? plans for the 2012 holiday season.

Retailers? holiday sales projections and hiring plans show they are more confident in economy, Hay Group said. Seventy-five percent of retailers expect an increase in holiday sales this year, according the survey.

Holiday shoppers are expected to continue to move online to do their purchases, according to the NRF?s new data.

The group predicts online holiday sales will grow 12 percent over last year?s figure. Total online spending this holiday season is estimated to be between $92 billion and $96 billion. The Commerce Department estimated that e-commerce in the last quarter of 2011 increased 15 percent from the year before.

?Online retail has been a bright spot for years and we don?t expect that trend to change anytime soon, especially with the growth in mobile,? noted the NRF?s Shay.

Although online sales only represent about 5 percent of all retail sales, it is a rapidly growing channel for holiday shopping.

A retailer who will benefit the most from this trend will be Amazon.com, which is expected to become the most shopped retailer for the 2012 holiday season, surpassing the current leader Wal-Mart, according to retail consultancy Kantar Retail.

Deloitte forecasts a 15 to 17 percent increase in non-store sales this year. About 75 percent of those sales will come from the online channel with additional sales coming from catalogs and interactive television.

Interestingly, rather than hurting in-store sales, Deloitte anticipates that mobile-influenced retail store sales will account for 5.1 percent, or $36 billion, in retail store sales during the holiday season, driven by consumers? store-related smartphone activity such as product research, price comparison or mobile application use. ??

Deloitte research suggests that shoppers armed with smartphones are 14 percent more likely to make a purchase in a store than those who do not use a smartphone as part of their in-store shopping.

This suggests the ?show-rooming? effect -- where shoppers browse merchandise in stores, and then go home to purchase the product online for less money -- is not as big a problem as had been feared.

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Source: http://marketday.nbcnews.com/_news/2012/10/02/14171943-holiday-sales-forecast-is-good-news-for-retailers?lite

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City and Port of Bellingham propose waterfront land swap | Politics ...

By John Stark

BELLINGHAM ? City Hall and the Port of Bellingham have just announced a potential blockbuster of a real estate swap on the waterfront, a swap that is being touted as a way to speed up both industrial and park development.

Read the press release here, on the city?s website. The site also provides helpful, if complicated, maps of this complex transaction. The port will get city-owned industrial land on the northwest side of Whatcom Waterway, while the city will take sole ownership of the Cornwall Beach area. That is an old city landfill site that is partly port-owned and is now undergoing some environmental cleanup.

The city would also get access to the big breakwater that surrounds the old Georgia-Pacific Corp. wastewater lagoon, for construction of a pedestrian walkway. Port officials had envisioned something similar as part of their plan for installation of a new marina inside the lagoon, but the marina proposal is now on indefinite hold.

No money would change hands as a part of this deal, and nothing is certain until both the Port Commission and City Council hold public hearings and vote their approval. Those hearings are already scheduled:

UPDATE?Port commissioners will review the proposal at 3 p.m. Tuesday, Oct. 16 in the Harbor Center Conference Room at port offices on Roeder Avenue. (I had a typo in the date on first draft here?)

?City Council will take a look at 7 p.m. Monday, Oct. 22 in council chambers at City Hall.

Source: http://blogs.bellinghamherald.com/politics/politics/city-and-port-of-bellingham-propose-waterfront-land-swap/

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Tuesday, October 2, 2012

Technology With Teens | Digital meets Culture

How High School teacher Bill Blidy is helping change the Face of Art Education in the United States.

By James and Maria Huntley

As digital art continues to impact contemporary art, teachers in the United States are finding innovative approaches to design.? We recently caught up with Bill Blidy, a high school teacher who began his career with technology and someone who has been ?tweaking? the way digital technology can enhance his students? visions.

1. What drew you initially to the medium of digital?
I?ve been teaching for fifteen years. This means I went to college in the mid-90s when people were just starting to communicate via e-mail in college and having a computer was more of an exception, rather than the rule. In my senior year I took a Photoshop class. It was relatively new and just being offered at the college level at that time. My entire focus at that time was on studio work.
When I started teaching I basically paved my own road using one desktop computer shared by an art faculty of four for making handouts and transparencies. I cut and pasted quite a bit with actual scissors and glue, printing out multiple copies and manipulating them for my own personal needs. It simply made sense to me and this was the fastest way to achieve my objectives.
The very first time I used digital technology in the classroom I gathered the entire class around this single computer where I had preset two images, one of the Mona Lisa and one of Leonardo da Vinci, in Photoshop on two separate layers and I faded the opacity between the two to demonstrate a theory that the Mona Lisa was a self-portrait of the artist. It was a basic way to hopefully add interest to an art history lesson. Remember this was fifteen years ago and it was really revolutionary. There was another trailblazing teacher using PowerPoint in the school. When I say ?trailblazer,? with 15 years between then and now, it?s a little bit of a joke, given how far we?ve all come.
I started to see the potential of digital media as a great pedagogical tool. And, I taught myself a more nuanced version of Photoshop and started to pick up other digital programs and tools along the way in order to primarily make resources for teaching.
Now I teach a total of nine different arts courses, two of which are technology classes where students use Adobe and Mac software for image, video and audio editing. Lately we have been using a blend of traditional software and free online software. I also maintain the school?s website and facilitate the creation of faculty and student created websites.

2. How do you use the digital medium in your classroom?

Teacher-centered at First
So, in the beginning of my career digital media was solely teacher-centered. It was partially due to limited resources (one computer shared just amongst faculty members) and the world had not changed that much, yet.
I interviewed and took a job thirteen years ago in a small, rural high school. I got the job partially because I was open to technology, under the leadership of a real trailblazer, a tech-savvy superintendent, who wanted a digital revolution in all classrooms. It was his vision to make the school a technological leader school for classrooms across Illinois. Everything he did was to further the integration of digital media, teaching and learning.
I was merely open to technology at this point, but I was given tremendous resources. I now personally operate with a desktop computer, a laptop, an iPad, iPod Touch, a digital projector, a scanner, digital camera, document camera and access to a richly resourced media library. We have two computer labs (both PC and Mac) that are used regularly for my art classes. Additionally, I was encouraged to try out every piece of art software that was issued and sometimes quickly learn how to teach it and utilize it in the classroom, or sometimes learn it alongside my students.
Teacher-centered uses today include making custom instructional images, animations and videos to illustrate a concept or technique, projected slide shows or viewing online artist resources and videos, demonstrating techniques to a large class using a document projector or posting student work in an online gallery.

Shift to Student Focus
Soon after being hired 13 years ago, digital media shifted from teacher-focused to student-focused. This was a result of Internet access within the art room along with mini-labs being added within each classroom.
Nowadays within a traditional media art class, students now use technology for locating image resources online, altering image resources, taking reference photographs, planning compositions, scanning and photographing their work along with typing reflections in order to maintain a digital portfolio of work. We?ve even held student-led Skype video conferences with outside experts.
I?ve found that technology can aid students in becoming comfortable with traditional materials, or to help them visualize an end result. Students may use technology to determine the direction of a project halfway through. For example, photographing a ceramic piece, then using Photoshop to help visualize various glaze possibilities before actually glazing the work. Or, deciding whether they would prefer to stipple or crosshatch a portion of their drawing before committing their marks with permanent ink. Recently, our school acquired iPads, and iPod touches and we?ve begun to use them for drawing and painting. Students have also narrated iPod audio tours of their gallery exhibits.

A Refined Student Focus
The challenge initially, and to some degree continues, was to stay on top of new software and hone digital skills. But, each year students begin high school with an increased skillset, and now the challenge is actually not to teach the technological skills, but to teach them basic visual art skills within the programs they both already know and are learning better. They begin high school with the technical skills to create, but without an understanding of how to communicate visually in a clear and effective way, and in a way that develops their personal voice.
So, I am now focusing on teaching students how to utilize basic visual communication skills and think creatively. Some of those basic design principles include hierarchy of information, composition, emphasis, contrast and juxtaposition, unity, and an overall ?less is more? approach.
I also had a couple of educational wake-up calls in the last couple years. One occurred when students began looking up finished examples of a particular project online as their way to start a project. And, I was utterly amazed because up until this point they were building something based on the parameters of the project, utilizing their own creativity. But, there had been a quiet turning point where they wanted to now build something that was previously created by others.
And, then secondly I had an extremely talented group of painters a couple years ago, some of the best technical artists I had seen in many years. When I asked them to paint a still-life from observation, they wanted to work from a photograph instead. They panicked, and to my shock and some dismay I realized they couldn?t even see what was in front of them, specifically colors that were happening in real life. They could see blue when it was in the photo, but they couldn?t see it two feet in front of them.
So, now I?m working on a more intentional use of digital media in the classroom. I will always continue to utilize computers and the most recent software programs, but with a more thoughtful approach. Not to just use technology because it is technology, but to reflect on how this particular use of technology can be used to further the goals of the lesson, and whether this use of technology encourages original thought. The new challenge for this generation is to teach them to create and value truly original content, to apply the basic concepts of art and design when they work with computers and to actually teach them to see the world without a screen and without a lens, but just with their own eyes.

3. Could you tell us about special programs your students have participated in?
It?s been a great experience bringing in outside experts to the classroom through video conferencing. A highlight for us all was when we had a video conference with the creator of Public Service Announcements from MTV in New York. He not only gave the class valuable advice ranging from his career to creativity, but he was able to comment and critique the student?s own PSA projects. In another conference, the use of iChat allowed our expert to view student work in real time. With the use of Skype and iChat, we?ve been able to expand the classroom beyond our walls.
http://nchsart.blogspot.com/2008/05/computer-graphics-video-conference.html
http://nchsart.blogspot.com/2007/10/national-expert-visits-art-room.html
http://nchsart.blogspot.com/2007/11/design-115-118.html
Another special program was a collaborative art project completed between my class and a computer graphics class at another high school. The project involved a modern day twist on a creative exercise invented by surrealist artists in the 1920?s. Artists would play this ?game? to inspire creativity, originality, and collaboration. It is sort of a cross between the classic games of ?hot-potato? and ?telephone?.
Our modern day version involved the use of Adobe Photoshop, email, and iChat video conferencing software. Students created a digital artwork, cropped the edge, then emailed the cropped piece to their partner at the collaborating school. The partner expanded the panel and continued the design using photographs and photo retouching tools within the Adobe Photoshop program. In turn, the panel is cropped again and emailed back to the original artist and the entire process is repeated.
In the end, the completed panels emailed and connected revealing a surprising and unexpected result for both artists, yet the artwork retains an unusually unified look. Students then discussed the project and critiqued their results through a video conference. We also discussed the role of technology in creating distant collaborative opportunities.
http://nchsart.blogspot.com/2008/04/computer-graphics-classes-begin.html
I?ve continued to tweak the project in various ways since then, but I enjoy this project because it continues to push students to be creative within a strict timeframe. It is a great project that expands their imagination.

4. Is there a difference in the mark-making with traditional means vs. digital?
Both have unique and different ways of mark-making, and the digital medium often attempts to replicate a traditional mark. Unique to the digital medium, one can ?paint? with a pattern, stamp with a photograph, layer, copy, paste, erase, clone, distort, reorder, layer, undo and ?save as?, giving the artist the ability to create multiple variations. The artist can then immediately share their work via social media. With the advent of touch screen technology, the artist?s own finger becomes the tool for mark marking.
Unique to the traditional medium would be creating an actual texture or form, the resistance of the brush, drying time, mixing of unusual materials, those unexpected ? often desirable ? results, and the commitment of a mark once it is made, to make a one-of-a-kind work.
I find students naturally make a distinction between the mark-making of traditional means versus digital, and certain students seem to gravitate toward one or the other, but not always both.
I think the major difference between traditional and digital mark-making is the level of commitment required. Traditional mark-making has a higher level of commitment and it is, of course much more difficult to undo creative action of any sort. Digital mark-making can be a confidence builder of creativity for some students because of a lower level of commitment. They can try something, toss it out and start over and there is no evidence if the endeavor did not work out.

5. Who are some digital artists/teachers that we should all know about (or any flying under the radar)?
To be honest, I do not find myself in digital galleries very often. Like most of the world, the great majority of the digital work I see is the commercial application of digital art. Even in the digital classes I teach, many of our projects have some sort of commercial application: designing logos, redesigning packages, making video commercials, etc.
That said, an artist I am keeping an eye on right now is David Hockney and his recent New Yorker magazine covers. David Hockney hardly flies under the radar. He memorably elevated photo collage to the level of fine art. Well, now his iPad paintings are pushing that medium and the Brushes App to the limit. He is giving it a good test run in a very public way. He is an esteemed artist and I think many of us are watching to see how much and what exactly a notable painter can do with this software and this device. If he was not doing this so publicly I wonder if there would be more of a grass-roots attempt to explore the software, but I think he is shaping what people want to do with it because his work is so visible. And, so, in a way I think he is defining it. I have already seen his style with the medium trickle down into some large size bus stop advertisements in Chicago.

6. How do you see digital software impacting art education in the next 5-10 years?
It?s interesting to think about where we are today from the lens of five to 10 years ago. I could have never predicted we would be here ten years ago.
The recent trends are exciting, though. I see students sharing their artwork today like never before via social media. Students are joining art forums where they connect with other artists. They are using their phones to take resource photographs for class projects. They use digital medium as a sketchbook before creating a traditional media piece.
As an art educator, I see the challenge over the next five years as teaching this next generation about the differences between entirely original content and borrowed content. A public example of the blurry line between the two is the lawsuit against Shepard Fairey?s Obama ?Hope? portrait. Shepard created a work based on a copyrighted photo, begging the heavily nuanced and legal question: how much of the work and how much of the credit was his?
Five years ago we wanted to teach Photoshop and we grabbed photos quickly, wherever we could find them, so we could concentrate on teaching the technical skills. Now, we are slowing down and teaching the students to take their own photos and work from those photos and manipulate them. Now the focus is shifting to saying, ?That?s nice, but is it all yours??
In some ways the digital classroom is a more exciting place to be right now because there is more space now to teach students about art. It is more than just a technology class. We no longer have to take the time to teach them how to open a program or how to use a mouse. I think the challenge now is to teach them how to refine their skills and teach them art skills with a medium they already know, analogous to the way you teach a student to draw with a pencil she has been writing with since kindergarten.

Below a Gallery of Bill Blidy education work.

Source: http://www.digitalmeetsculture.net/article/technology-with-teens/

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Must See HDTV (October 1st - 7th)

Must See HDTV October 1st  7th

We're still trying to clear our DVRs from last week's flood of fall premieres, but luckily there's only a few brand new shows arriving this week. On the other hand, there are a slew of Blu-ray releases and videogames debuting, so plan your time carefully. Find any new favorites among the shows making their debut last week? Let us know in the comments below and check out the highlights this week, followed after the break by our weekly listing of what to look out for in TV, Blu-ray and videogames.

NBA 2K13
With competitor NBA Live shelved (again) there's only one option for hoops on your console this year, luckily it's a pretty good one. NBA 2K13 has reworked its control scheme (again) and listed Jay-Z as its executive producer to promise some extra flair and a booming soundtrack. We can't wait for the annual rite of popping the game in, taking on our friends online and quickly getting disconnected as the servers get overloaded (again.)
($58.99 on Amazon for PS3 and Xbox 360)

30 Rock
One of NBC's best comedies finally returns this week with Liz Lemon, Jack Donaghy, Tracy Jordan and all the rest trying to put together their sketch comedy series each week. We have no idea what this season has in store but Tina Fey and the rest of the writers rarely disappoint. Now, just bring back Community and we'll be happy NBC.
(October 4th, 8PM, NBC)

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'Major decline' seen in Great Barrier Reef coral

See dozens of wonders from the Great Barrier Reef and other other exotic seascapes, courtesy of the Catlin Seaview Survey.

By Miguel Llanos, NBC News

Calling it the most extensive review of how coral on Australia's Great Barrier Reef is faring, scientists on Monday reported some alarming news: The amount of coral covering reefs there has been cut in half since 1985 and will likely continue to decline unless steps are taken to at least attack the easiest of several factors.

"We show a major decline in coral cover from 28 percent to 13.8 percent" of the entire system, the experts wrote after reviewing 2,258 surveys of 214 reefs within the marine sanctuary.?

"Two-thirds of that decline has occurred since 1998," they added.

John Bruno, a?coral expert who was not part of the study, called the findings "really grim" and reflecting loss even higher than deforestation in the tropics, a topic that generally gets much more attention.


"In 2007, we first sounded the alarm that the Great Barrier Reef, and Pacific reefs in general, were not as pristine and resilient as a lot of people wanted to believe," Bruno, a marine biology professor at the University of North Carolina Chapel Hill, told NBC News. "But still, this is really shocking to me."

"This is a really high rate of loss for an entire region," he added. "This is just nuts and it appears to have been sustained over the last five to 10 years. Just mind blowing. I really didn't expect this."

The researchers estimated that tropical storms,?coral predation by crown-of-thorns starfish and coral bleaching accounted for 48 percent, 42 percent and 10 percent of the respective estimated loss in coral cover.

Dave Gilliam and Liz Larson Nova Southeastern University and James Byrne, The Nature Conservancy discuss the large scale environmental program that is underway in Florida's coral reefs.

Coral bleaching, whereby coral expels the tiny single-celled algae inside that provide color,?is?triggered by stress such as warm seas or pollution.

The experts didn't have much faith in quick actions to counter warming seas, storms and bleaching, but they believe it might be possible to reduce starfish populations.

They based their hope on evidence that starfish are linked to poor water quality, and the fact that the northern Great Barrier Reef, which has little starfish predation, showed no overall decline.?

Nutrient-rich waters stimulate plankton, which starfish larvae thrive on, the experts noted, and if fertilizer and other nutrient-rich pollution in the water is cleaned up, starfish populations would decline and coral cover could increase by nearly a percentage point a year, they estimated.?

"Survival of the plankton-feeding larvae ... is high in nutrient-enriched flood waters, whereas few larvae complete their development in seawater with low phytoplankton concentrations," the experts wrote.

Bruno, for his part, said the impact of starfish on the reef is "striking," with the carnivores actually eating away at coral. "They are huge and scary beasts," he said, citing outbreaks in which the starfish "move in massive waves down the Great Barrier Reef like a plague."

Related:?360-degree tours of Great Barrier Reef

The study's authors predicted that without intervention the coral cover on the reef will probably decline up to 10 percent in the next 10 years.

They also noted that reducing starfish is a short-term step that can "only be successful if climatic conditions are stabilized, as losses due to bleaching and cyclones will otherwise increase."

A new report out on the Mesoamerica Reef finds that despite some improvements, more needs to be done to protect the region's coral reefs. Msnbc.com's Dara Brown reports.

The study by experts at the Australian Institute of Marine Science and the?University of Wollongong?was published in the peer-reviewed Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

Bruno called the study "a sea change in the attitude" of the institute, a branch of the Australian government, because it had been "resistant to the idea that the Great Barrier Reef was degrading" ? even challenging the 2007 study he and a colleague published.

"Ten years ago nearly everyone assumed, and argued, that due to its isolation, size and huge biodiversity, the Great Barrier Reef had resisted the decay that the rest of the world's reefs had experienced," Bruno added.

The study follows?a report earlier this month estimating coral cover?in the Caribbean and Florida Keys has fallen from 50 percent of reef surface area in the 1970s to just 8 percent today. ?

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Source: http://worldnews.nbcnews.com/_news/2012/10/01/14152900-great-barrier-reef-coral-seeing-major-decline-scientists-report?lite

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Monday, October 1, 2012

MicJohnson: RT @Harvard: Global cancer research database reveals what you can do to lower your risk http://t.co/98b6lidI (via @harvardhealth)